Can PM2.5 focus on the Chinese auto market?

The PM2.5 monitoring data was rolled out 24 hours starting from March 9. From the overall situation after the start of monitoring, Foshan's data is not good-looking. As a hot topic of public concern, Foshan City promptly asked all districts to come up with a comprehensive system of governance solutions. The vehicle exhaust is considered to be one of the culprits of air pollution, and its pollution level in the downtown area even exceeds industrial pollution.

In order to prevent car exhaust, Chancheng, Shunde and other districts have recently started motor vehicle exhaust gas inspections to remotely monitor motor vehicles in the past. Information on vehicles exceeding the standard will be entered on the “black list” when they apply for environmental protection signs or annual inspections. Will be focused on. For the auto market, this move is mixed. Strictly speaking, automobile exhaust testing will increase the amount of business that the owner maintains in stores, but due to the increased maintenance burden, coupled with market forecasts, Foshan in April may replace China IV fuel, which may have higher prices, and it will be higher at that time. Under the background of oil prices, the cost of vehicles will increase, and whether the relatively light auto market can bear the weight of PM2.5 remains to be seen.

Background: Chaoyang Center Automobile Pollution Super Industrial Pollution According to the Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau, urban air pollution has now become mainly air pollution, especially in the central city, after passing through building ceramics, non-ferrous metals, printing and dyeing. After the relocation and upgrading of the textile and other industries, relevant data has shown that the pollution of cars in the central city of Changui exceeds that of industrial pollution.

In the emission pollution of automobiles, the major polluters are undoubtedly yellow-labeled cars and other old cars. Prior to this, Foshan City conducted a limit test, and within two days, the non-green environmental protection inspection mark cars were banned from passing in Chancheng, Nanhai, and Shunde. As a result, the emissions of pollutants CO, VOC, NOx, and PM10 in motor vehicles were reduced by 29.1%, 37.7%, 46.0%, and 39.6%, respectively, over the two days. At the same time, the traffic volume after the limit of yellow-label vehicles was reduced by 7.15% compared with that before the limit. The reduction in traffic volume is significantly less than the reduction in pollutant emissions. The fact that Huang Biao car has “polluted” has apparently been confirmed.

In addition to the large-scale polluters such as Huang Biao, the number of other types of vehicles in the million-automobile city of Foshan is more, and the pollution caused by exhaust emissions is also a non-negligible factor. Therefore, in addition to the phase-out of yellow-label vehicles, new methods and new methods for preventing and controlling automobile exhaust in Foshan follow. The industry is also rumored that local vehicle fuel will be upgraded.

Measures 1 Remote Sensing Exhaust Exceeding Standard Vehicles On March 15th, at the Shunde Sports Center section, careful car owners discovered that the roadside of the road was set up with an “Environmental Check Car” lane. This is the first station after Shunde’s first vehicle exhaust gas telemetry vehicle started its way. As long as the vehicle passes by the vehicle, the powerful vehicle exhaust gas telemetry vehicle can immediately display the detected data through the LED screen, including whether the license plate number and the exhaust gas are qualified. The telemetry vehicle can also detect carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide and nitrogen in real time. A total of eight indicators such as oxygen compounds, hydrocarbons, and smoke opacity.

On March 21st, in Chancheng District, at the foot of the Dongping Bridge at Lingnan Avenue, a vehicle exhaust gas road test was also launched for the first time. Of the 606 vehicles that were effectively tested, 525 were qualified and 81 exceeded, exceeding the rate of 13.4%. According to the arrangement, Chancheng District will alternately conduct tests every Wednesday morning at the junction of Dongping Bridge at the Lingnan Avenue or the junction of Chao'an Road and Jihua Road. Vehicles that have been detected with excessive exhaust emissions will be entered into the “black list” of vehicle exhaust pollution prevention and control information systems. These vehicles will be given special attention when applying for environmental protection signs or annual inspections.

In April 2nd, it was possible to use the oil of the State IV to make the industry and the majority of car owners more concerned about the issue of when the National IV fuel came out. According to the estimation of professional departments, the emissions of vehicle exhaust pollution will decrease by approximately 15% to 20% after the use of State IV oil products.

Since 2010, Foshan has introduced a series of measures to solve the problem of motor vehicle pollution. Among them, in September 2010, Foshan and other cities in the Pearl River Delta took the lead in implementing the National IV emission standards for new vehicles (gasoline vehicles) on the license plate. However, the fuel standard has always been maintained in the national III standard. At the time, there were rumors that in 2010, Foshan will replace part of the State III oil products with National IV oil products. However, after all of the gas stations in Guangzhou were replaced with national IV standards, Foshan gas stations had not yet seen movement. In 2011, there were also reports that relevant authorities in Foshan City had discussed the issue of upgrading of oil products of State III, and will strive to achieve the use of National IV oil in the year. However, the oil upgrading problem is now at the end of March 2012. Still not implemented.

After the introduction of PM2.5 monitoring this year, vehicle fuel upgrades have become one of the topics of the government. At the city’s environmental protection work conference held not long ago, Liu Yuelun, deputy secretary of the municipal party committee and mayor of the city, proposed to adopt a “seven-pronged approach” to control PM2.5, focusing on the need to allow motor vehicles to “drink” to the State IV in April. Fuel.

Impact: The prevention and control of the PM2.5 auto market is mixed with the measures taken by Foshan to prevent and treat PM2.5, such as the elimination of yellow-labeled vehicles and the enhancement of tail gas testing. The impact on the auto market is good or bad. A dealer of a Japanese brand believes that there are still more than 100,000 yellow label vehicles in Foshan, and phase-out of yellow label vehicles will bring a huge customer base and car demand to the auto market, so it will be of great benefit to the auto market. Although the stimulus may not be as obvious as the limit.

At the same time, rigorously strengthening the inspection of motor vehicle exhaust by means of remote sensing road inspections and other means is also considered to be a favorable measure for the auto market because it will give more services to 4S shops or other auto repair shops. However, if you do not get the environmental protection label, the owner can only choose to maintain it, which means that the maintenance business will increase."

Of course, the worries of car dealers are that in the context of high oil prices, if Foshan upgrades its national IV oil, oil prices may have to converge with Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other places, which is more expensive than the current price of about 0.2 yuan/liter, which will undoubtedly affect the purchase of cars. Willingness.

Owner: Are all fees paid for by the owner?

Under the background of prevention and control of PM2.5, the cost of car owners is increasing. Many owners have doubts about whether the increased costs will be paid by the owner. The most controversial issue for owners is the maintenance of non-compliance vehicles. According to the owners, the first annual inspection of the new car was after 2 years of purchase. His first annual inspection failed because of exhaust gas emission failure. Finally spent more than 800 yuan maintenance adjustment, the second time passed the annual inspection. "The 4S shop said that the exhaust emission was not up to the standard, it is not covered by the warranty, but it is still within the warranty period, but it can only save money." The owner of the vehicle believes that if a car like himself has not experienced any problems and is within the warranty period, if the exhaust emissions do not meet the standards to repair the car, the cost should be borne by the manufacturer or the 4S shop. At most, the two sides share the burden. But now, it seems that in order to manage PM2.5, the increased costs of motor vehicle use and maintenance are all borne by the consumers themselves. This is not worth thinking about.